La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Arthur Fils v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fils (Local)
Predicción 42.50%2.35momio equitativo
EV -0.125%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.093%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.57%42.49%42.42%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3547.62%45.46%45.45%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Visitante)
Predicción 57.50%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.980%
Kelly -2.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.70%57.51%57.58%59.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.661.671.7163.69%60.17%59.88%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -0.125%E -0.053%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -1.83%E -0.790%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.25%E -0.978%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.72%E -6.19%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 18:07 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 18:09 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 18:08 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 18:07 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.38%E -1.94%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.80%E -2.14%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.65%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.65%E -2.55%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| GTbets | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.08%E -2.75%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 18:05 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 18:05 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 18:07 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 18:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 18:09 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 18:09 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 17:57 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.70%E -3.48%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.27%E -3.85%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 18:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.42%E -4.61%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.00%E -5.00%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -7.35%E -3.37%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -4.55%E -2.74%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-10 18:01 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Bally Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| betPARX | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -8.20%E -3.80%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -2.82%E -1.67%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 17:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.67%E -0.980%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.25%E -1.32%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 18:06 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.85%E -4.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 18:09 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -8.63%E -4.01%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.57%E -5.39%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -3.40%E -2.02%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.97%E -2.38%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 18:09 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 18:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.12%E -3.11%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 18:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.4% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Novig | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 2.6% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |