Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev v Gabriel Diallo

Início: 2026-03-07 21:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Previsão 71.69%1.39odd justa
EV -3.21%
Vantagem -2.38%
Kelly -9.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%71.63%71.66%73.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.71%75.76%74.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)

Previsão 28.31%3.53odd justa
EV +0.772%
Vantagem +0.217%
Kelly +0.302%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.86%28.37%28.34%30.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.343.353.5632.26%29.94%29.85%28.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Andrey Rublev (Local): 71.69%; Gabriel Diallo (Visitante): 28.31%. Para Gabriel Diallo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.772%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV +0.772%E +0.217%K +0.302%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-07 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +0.206%E +0.058%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 20:54
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.077%E -0.022%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:55
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.21%E -0.347%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.34%E -0.679%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -2.62%E -0.763%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:05
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:54
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:00
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:00
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:54
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:54
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:51
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:04
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%1.7%2026-03-07 21:05