La escuela de los momios

Andrey Rublev v Gabriel Diallo

Inicio: 2026-03-07 21:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Predicción 71.69%1.39momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -9.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%71.63%71.66%73.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.71%75.76%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)

Predicción 28.31%3.53momio equitativo
EV +0.772%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.302%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.86%28.37%28.34%30.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.343.353.5632.26%29.94%29.85%28.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV +0.772%E +0.217%K +0.302%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-07 20:55
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +0.206%E +0.058%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 20:54
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.077%E -0.022%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:55
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.21%E -0.347%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.34%E -0.679%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -2.62%E -0.763%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:05
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:55
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:55
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:00
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:05
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:54
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:00
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:54
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:04
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 21:05
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:54
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:05
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:54
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:51
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:04
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%1.7%2026-03-07 21:05