L’École des cotes

Andrey Rublev v Gabriel Diallo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prévision 71.69%1.39cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -2.38%
Kelly -9.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%71.63%71.66%73.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3578.74%75.71%75.76%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV +0.772%
Avantage +0.217%
Kelly +0.302%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.86%28.37%28.34%30.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.343.353.5632.26%29.94%29.85%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.65%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.35%EV +0.772%E +0.217%K +0.302%G +0.002%2.7%2026-03-07 20:55
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.14%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.86%EV +0.206%E +0.058%K +0.081%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 20:54
1xBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -0.077%E -0.022%K -0.031%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:55
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 20:54
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -0.927%E -0.265%K -0.371%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.71%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -1.21%E -0.347%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.34%E -0.679%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -2.62%E -0.763%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 21:05
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 20:54
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 20:55
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.95%E -7.05%K -33.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.76%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:55
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.93%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.61%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:05
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:00
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:05
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 21:00
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.17%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 20:54
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -5.74%E -1.72%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:00
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:54
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:00
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:05
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:04
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 20:55
Fliff1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.59%E -2.00%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 21:05
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:54
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:05
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.00%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.21%E -2.38%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:55
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 20:54
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 21:04
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.42%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 20:51
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.36%E -4.06%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 20:55
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -6.08%E -4.64%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -10.83%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 21:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.65%E -3.49%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 20:54
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.80%E -5.23%K -22.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.25%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-07 21:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-07 21:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:04
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-07 21:05
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%1.7%2026-03-07 21:05