La scuola delle quote

Ugo Humbert v Karen Khachanov

Inizio: 2026-05-20 12:50 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 30.07%3.33quota equa
EV +0.135%
Vantaggio +0.041%
Kelly +0.058%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.67%29.91%30.06%31.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.143.103.3334.48%31.83%32.26%30.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Karen Khachanov (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.93%1.43quota equa
EV -2.10%
Vantaggio -1.50%
Kelly -5.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.08%70.09%69.94%71.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.87%73.53%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV +0.135%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 12:39
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 12:39
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
SportsBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -1.97%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -2.57%E -0.794%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.10%E -1.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 12:38
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 12:29
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:39
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:39
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.07%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 12:39
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Coolbet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 12:29
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 12:39
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 12:39
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:38
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:39
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:38
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:37
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 12:39
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 12:39
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 12:39
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 12:36
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Novig3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96%2.1%2026-05-20 12:39
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%3.7%2026-05-20 12:39