L’École des cotes

Ugo Humbert v Karen Khachanov

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 12:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Prévision 30.07%3.33cote équitable
EV +0.135%
Avantage +0.041%
Kelly +0.058%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.91%30.06%31.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.103.3334.48%31.83%32.26%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karen Khachanov (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.93%1.43cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -5.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.08%70.09%69.94%71.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.87%73.53%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV +0.135%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 12:39
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-20 12:39
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
SportsBet3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -1.97%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Pinnacle3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -2.57%E -0.794%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.10%E -1.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 12:38
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-20 12:29
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:39
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:39
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.07%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 12:39
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Coolbet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:39
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 12:29
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 12:39
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 12:39
Fanatics3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
ReBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Winamax (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:38
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:39
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:39
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:38
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:37
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 12:39
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 12:39
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 12:39
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 12:39
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:39
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 12:36
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-05-20 12:39
Novig3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96%2.1%2026-05-20 12:39
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%3.7%2026-05-20 12:39