La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ugo Humbert v Karen Khachanov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Predicción 30.07%3.33momio equitativo
EV +0.135%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.058%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.67%29.91%30.06%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.143.103.3334.48%31.83%32.26%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Karen Khachanov (Visitante)
Predicción 69.93%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -5.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.08%70.09%69.94%71.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.361.4076.92%73.87%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%EV +0.135%E +0.041%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.15%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.767%E -0.232%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -1.97%E -0.604%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -8.39%E -6.41%K -27.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.17%EV -2.57%E -0.794%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.83%EV -2.10%E -1.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 12:38 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-20 12:29 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -3.77%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.09%E -6.99%K -30.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.07%E -1.28%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| DraftKings | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Coolbet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.38%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 12:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Fanatics | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| ReBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 12:38 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -5.28%E -1.68%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.20%E -3.06%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:38 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:37 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.78%E -2.19%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.29%E -4.70%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.50%E -2.53%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.60%E -4.14%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.79%E -3.26%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.99%E -5.26%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 12:36 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.80%E -4.41%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -4.90%E -3.60%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Matchbook | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Novig | 3.26I 30.67%NM 30.04% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.96% | 2.1% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87% | 3.7% | 2026-05-20 12:39 |