Language:English
Tommy Paul v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 63.31%1.58fair odd
EV -0.602%
Edge -0.384%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%63.33%63.66%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.57%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)
Prediction 36.69%2.73fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.113%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%36.67%36.34%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.542.8541.67%39.27%39.45%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 63.31%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 36.69%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -10.10%E -7.11%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +4.56%E +1.60%K +2.47%G +0.113% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.939%E -0.348%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.10%E -7.11%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.24%E -0.792%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.20%E -5.65%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.20%E -5.65%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.57%E -5.18%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.81%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -0.602%E -0.384%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -7.18%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -0.602%E -0.384%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -7.18%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.54%E -2.99%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -8.64%E -3.47%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.87%E -1.21%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 16:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 16:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.65% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.35% | 1.0% | 2026-05-19 16:10 |