La scuola delle quote

Tommy Paul v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Inizio: 2026-05-19 16:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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42 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tommy Paul (Casa)

Previsione 63.31%1.58quota equa
EV -0.602%
Vantaggio -0.384%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.76%63.33%63.66%66.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.57%66.67%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.69%2.73quota equa
EV +4.56%
Vantaggio +1.60%
Kelly +2.47%
Crescita +0.113%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.26%36.67%36.34%39.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.552.542.8541.67%39.27%39.45%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -10.10%E -7.11%K -24.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +4.56%E +1.60%K +2.47%G +0.113%5.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.939%E -0.348%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 16:10
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 16:10
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:09
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 16:09
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -10.10%E -7.11%K -24.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -2.77%E -1.05%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 16:10
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.87%E -1.48%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.24%E -0.792%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-19 16:11
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 16:10
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:09
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.30%E -4.26%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.20%E -5.65%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 16:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.20%E -5.65%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.61%E -1.77%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -7.57%E -5.18%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -6.44%E -2.53%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 16:09
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.81%E -2.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 16:11
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -0.602%E -0.384%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -7.18%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 16:10
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -0.602%E -0.384%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -7.18%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-19 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -6.93%E -4.72%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.54%E -2.99%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 16:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 16:11
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 16:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 16:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 16:10
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.40%E -2.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 16:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 16:10
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.28%E -3.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 16:10
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.56%EV -5.67%E -3.80%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -8.64%E -3.47%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.87%E -1.21%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -3.13%E -2.05%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 16:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -3.77%E -2.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 16:10
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 16:08
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.03%E -3.36%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.95%E -4.98%K -8.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 16:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%0.4%2026-05-19 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-19 16:10
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-19 16:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-05-19 16:10
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 62.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 37.35%1.0%2026-05-19 16:10