A Escola das Odds

Hugo Gaston v Karen Khachanov

Início: 2026-05-19 13:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hugo Gaston (Local)

Previsão 19.97%5.01odd justa
EV +5.66%
Vantagem +1.07%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.36%20.02%19.90%22.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.694.705.2923.81%21.30%21.28%18.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Karen Khachanov (Visitante)

Previsão 80.03%1.25odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -3.31%
Kelly -19.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.92%79.98%80.10%81.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.56%84.75%83.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle5.29I 18.90%NM 18.36%EV +5.66%E +1.07%K +1.32%G +0.075%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.64%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-19 12:59
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.87%E +0.366%K +0.456%G +0.009%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-19 13:00
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 12:59
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 13:00
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:00
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 13:00
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 12:59
1xBet4.88I 20.49%NM 19.60%EV -2.53%E -0.517%K -0.651%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.40%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 13:01
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -3.12%E -0.644%K -0.812%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 13:01
DraftKings4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV -3.32%E -0.687%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.27%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 13:00
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:00
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:00
Unibet (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:01
Unibet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:00
LiveScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:01
Virgin Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 13:01
LowVig.ag4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -4.32%E -0.903%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 13:01
BetOnline.ag4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -4.32%E -0.903%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-19 13:00
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
Hard Rock Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
Unibet (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:00
Fanatics4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 12:59
ReBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 13:00
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 13:00
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 13:00
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.97%E -6.93%K -53.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 12:59
SportsBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 13:00
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
NordicBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 13:00
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 13:01
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:01
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:01
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:01
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 13:00
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 13:00
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 13:00
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 13:00
Everygame4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.17%E -6.18%K -44.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 13:00
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -11.11%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 13:00
TAB4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.11%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 13:00
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.51%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 13:00
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-05-19 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-05-19 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-05-19 13:00
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84%1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16%0.2%2026-05-19 13:01
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%1.9%2026-05-19 13:00
Novig5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91%2.1%2026-05-19 13:00