La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Hugo Gaston v Karen Khachanov
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hugo Gaston (Local)
Predicción 19.97%5.01momio equitativo
EV +5.66%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.075%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.36%20.02%19.90%22.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.694.705.2923.81%21.30%21.28%18.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Karen Khachanov (Visitante)
Predicción 80.03%1.25momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -3.31%
Kelly -19.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.92%79.98%80.10%81.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.181.181.2086.96%84.56%84.75%83.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.36%EV +5.66%E +1.07%K +1.32%G +0.075% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.64%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-19 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +1.87%E +0.366%K +0.456%G +0.009% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.128%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Bet Right | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.13%E -0.434%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.60%EV -2.53%E -0.517%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.40%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -3.12%E -0.644%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| DraftKings | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.73%EV -3.32%E -0.687%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.27%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| Unibet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.12%E -0.859%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -4.32%E -0.903%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV -4.32%E -0.903%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| BetMGM | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.12%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Fanatics | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 12:59 |
| ReBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.12%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.97%E -6.93%K -53.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -7.12%E -1.53%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Betsson | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.12%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Neds | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.37%E -5.44%K -37.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Everygame | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.12%E -2.25%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.17%E -6.18%K -44.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| theScore Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -11.11%E -2.50%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -3.97%E -3.31%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| TAB | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.11%E -2.75%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -13.51%E -3.12%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.57%E -4.72%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -16.11%E -3.84%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -4.77%E -4.01%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.84% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 81.16% | 0.2% | 2026-05-19 13:01 |
| Smarkets | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |
| Novig | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.09% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.91% | 2.1% | 2026-05-19 13:00 |