La scuola delle quote

Francisco Cerundolo v Alex de Minaur

Inizio: 2026-05-18 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Casa)

Previsione 61.95%1.61quota equa
EV -2.11%
Vantaggio -1.34%
Kelly -3.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.30%62.06%61.88%63.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.47%65.36%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.05%2.63quota equa
EV +0.823%
Vantaggio +0.311%
Kelly +0.499%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.45%37.94%38.12%39.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.482.482.6542.02%40.29%40.32%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV +0.823%E +0.311%K +0.499%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-18 08:06
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -0.318%E -0.122%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 09:49
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.699%E -0.268%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 06:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.699%E -0.268%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 06:40
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.08%E -0.415%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 09:31
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.08%E -0.415%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 09:55
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 04:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 06:40
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 05:27
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.12%E -1.64%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:35
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.35%E -2.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:15
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 09:04
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 09:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 06:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 06:30
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 21:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.69%E -5.16%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:06
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.07%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:10
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 09:01
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:35
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.03%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 09:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.03%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 22:35
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:35
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:35
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:35
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:05
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 21:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:20
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.69%E -5.16%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:45
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 09:20
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 09:20
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 09:20
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.45%E -4.27%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:55
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:55
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 06:33
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 05:31
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-18 09:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-05-18 09:53
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-05-18 09:30