L’École des cotes

Francisco Cerundolo v Alex de Minaur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Francisco Cerundolo (Local)

Prévision 61.95%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -3.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.30%62.06%61.88%63.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.47%65.36%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.05%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.823%
Avantage +0.311%
Kelly +0.499%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.45%37.94%38.12%39.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.482.482.6542.02%40.29%40.32%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV +0.823%E +0.311%K +0.499%G +0.004%3.5%2026-05-18 08:06
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -0.318%E -0.122%K -0.197%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 09:49
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.699%E -0.268%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 06:40
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.699%E -0.268%K -0.434%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 06:40
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.56%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.08%E -0.415%K -0.675%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 09:31
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.08%E -0.415%K -0.675%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 09:55
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 04:05
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 06:40
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-18 05:27
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.12%E -1.64%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 22:35
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.35%E -2.15%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 21:15
Coolbet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 09:04
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 09:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 11:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 06:10
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 06:30
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 21:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:09
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.69%E -5.16%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:06
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.07%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 21:10
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 09:01
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:35
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.03%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 09:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.03%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 22:35
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:35
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:35
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 22:35
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:05
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 21:10
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:20
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 09:20
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.69%E -5.16%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:45
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 09:20
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 09:20
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 09:20
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.45%E -4.27%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 09:55
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 07:55
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 06:33
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 09:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 05:31
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 09:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-18 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%0.9%2026-05-18 09:10
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%2.6%2026-05-18 09:53
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%2.9%2026-05-18 09:30