La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Francisco Cerundolo v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Francisco Cerundolo (Local)
Predicción 61.95%1.61momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -3.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.30%62.06%61.88%63.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.531.531.5868.03%65.47%65.36%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 38.05%2.63momio equitativo
EV +0.823%
Ventaja +0.311%
Kelly +0.499%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.45%37.94%38.12%39.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.482.482.6542.02%40.29%40.32%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV +0.823%E +0.311%K +0.499%G +0.004% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -0.318%E -0.122%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 09:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.699%E -0.268%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 06:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -0.699%E -0.268%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-18 06:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.97%E -2.56%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.08%E -0.415%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 09:31 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.08%E -0.415%K -0.675%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 04:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 06:40 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 05:27 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.12%E -1.64%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 22:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.35%E -2.15%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 21:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 09:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 14:15 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 06:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 06:30 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -7.69%E -5.16%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 08:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.93%E -6.07%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| ReBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -5.26%E -2.11%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 09:01 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:35 |
| Casumo | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| betPARX | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.64%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.59%E -2.98%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.03%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 09:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -6.03%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 22:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:35 |
| Betsson | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 22:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 09:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -7.69%E -5.16%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 09:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.11%E -1.34%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.83%E -3.84%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.45%E -4.27%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 07:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 06:33 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
| Everygame | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.07%E -4.71%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 05:31 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.21%E -3.41%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 09:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 09:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 09:10 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-05-18 09:53 |
| Smarkets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68% | 2.9% | 2026-05-18 09:30 |