La scuola delle quote

Flavio Cobolli v Ignacio Buse

Inizio: 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 61.43%1.63quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -2.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.70%61.46%61.44%63.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.531.541.6068.97%65.22%64.94%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ignacio Buse (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.57%2.59quota equa
EV +0.292%
Vantaggio +0.112%
Kelly +0.182%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.59%38.54%38.56%40.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.472.472.6042.55%40.42%40.49%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 09:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.79%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 09:40
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 09:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 09:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 09:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 09:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.70%E -6.60%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 09:30
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.93%E -7.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 09:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 09:40
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 09:46
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 09:00
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 09:30
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 09:30
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 09:49
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 09:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-19 09:30
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 08:50
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 08:59
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 09:50
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 09:30
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:30
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.25%E -4.80%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 09:30
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 09:30
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 09:40
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 09:39
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 09:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:49
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 09:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 09:48
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 09:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 09:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 09:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 09:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 09:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-19 09:50
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-19 09:50
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-19 09:50
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-05-19 09:10