Flavio Cobolli v Ignacio Buse

Inicio: 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

61%

39%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Predicción 61.43%1.63momio equitativo

EV -1.72%

Ventaja -1.07%

Kelly -2.86%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

59.70%61.46%61.44%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.451.531.541.6068.97%65.22%64.94%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ignacio Buse (Visitante)

Predicción 38.57%2.59momio equitativo

EV +0.292%

Ventaja +0.112%

Kelly +0.182%

Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

36.59%38.54%38.56%40.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.352.472.472.6042.55%40.42%40.49%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Grosvenor	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
BetRivers	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet (NL)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
LeoVegas	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Casumo	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
TABtouch	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Svenska Spel	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Bally Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
betPARX	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
ATG (SE)	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Hard Rock Bet	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%	5.1%	2026-05-19 09:00
Virgin Bet	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-19 09:10
LiveScore Bet	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-19 09:10
FanDuel	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.79%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-19 09:40
1xBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-19 09:50
Fanatics	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-19 09:40
BoyleSports	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-19 09:20
Paddy Power	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-19 09:40
Tipico (DE)	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.70%E -6.60%K -20.65%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-19 09:30
PMU (FR)	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.93%E -7.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-05-19 09:10
Marathon Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-05-19 09:40
Betclic (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-19 09:46
Pinnacle	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-05-19 09:00
DraftKings	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-19 09:30
LowVig.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-19 08:50
BetOnline.ag	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-05-19 08:50
Unibet (UK)	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-19 09:30
Coolbet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-19 09:49
ReBet	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-19 09:30
SportsBet	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-19 09:40
Winamax (DE)	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-05-19 09:30
BetAnything	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-19 08:50
Bovada	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-05-19 08:59
Bet Right	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-19 09:50
theScore Bet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-19 09:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-19 09:30
Fliff	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.25%E -4.80%K -14.21%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-19 09:30
Betsson	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-19 09:30
NordicBet	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-19 09:40
Codere (IT)	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-19 09:39
BetMGM	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-19 09:10
Betr (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-19 09:20
Betway	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-19 08:49
PlayUp	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-19 09:40
NetBet (FR)	1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-19 09:50
Bet Victor	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-05-19 09:48
888sport	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-19 09:50
William Hill	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-19 09:50
888sport (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-19 09:50
Mr Green (SE)	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-05-19 09:50
BetUS	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-19 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-19 09:10
Coral	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-05-19 09:10
Winamax (FR)	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-19 09:30
TAB	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-19 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-19 09:10
Neds	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-05-19 09:10
Unibet (FR)	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-19 09:50
Everygame	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-19 09:50

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	0.4%	2026-05-19 09:50
Matchbook	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%	0.7%	2026-05-19 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%	0.8%	2026-05-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%	0.8%	2026-05-19 09:50
Novig	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%	2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%	1.9%	2026-05-19 09:50
Smarkets	1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%	2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%	2.2%	2026-05-19 09:10