مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Ignacio Buse

البداية: 2026-05-19 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.43%1.63السعر العادل
EV -1.72%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -2.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.70%61.46%61.44%63.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.531.541.6068.97%65.22%64.94%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Ignacio Buse (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.57%2.59السعر العادل
EV +0.292%
الأفضلية +0.112%
Kelly +0.182%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.59%38.54%38.56%40.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.472.472.6042.55%40.42%40.49%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.292%E +0.112%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.1%2026-05-19 09:00
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -8.47%E -5.69%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -1.64%E -0.642%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 09:10
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.79%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 09:40
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -3.18%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 09:50
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-19 09:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 09:20
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 09:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.70%E -6.60%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 09:30
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.93%E -7.54%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 09:10
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-19 09:40
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -3.95%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 09:46
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-19 09:00
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 09:30
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 08:50
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 09:30
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 09:49
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 09:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -4.72%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 09:40
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-19 09:30
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.33%E -1.47%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-19 08:50
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-19 08:59
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 09:50
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 09:30
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:30
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.25%E -4.80%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.49%E -2.24%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 09:30
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 09:30
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 09:40
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.40%E -3.51%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.88%E -2.41%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-19 09:39
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 09:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:49
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 09:40
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.63%E -4.36%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 09:50
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.86%E -5.24%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.42%E -3.09%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 09:48
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.56%E -2.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.19%E -3.44%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-19 09:50
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -1.72%E -1.07%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 09:10
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.58%E -3.62%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-19 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.17%E -2.68%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 09:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 09:10
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.79%E -3.09%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 09:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.02%E -3.93%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.35%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 09:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-19 09:50
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-19 09:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-19 09:50
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-05-19 09:50
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-05-19 09:10