Language:English
Daniel Altmaier v Rinky Hijikata
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prediction 71.02%1.41fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%70.93%71.11%71.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.69%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rinky Hijikata (Visit)
Prediction 28.98%3.45fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.435%
Kelly -0.616%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.20%29.07%28.89%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.12%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 71.02%; Rinky Hijikata (Visit): 28.98%. For Rinky Hijikata (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -1.99%E -1.44%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -9.01%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -1.99%E -1.44%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -9.01%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 13:52 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.48%E -0.435%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -3.22%E -0.963%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.06%E -0.609%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.93%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -2.64%E -0.785%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 14:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.96%E -5.31%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -4.09%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55% | 2.2% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33% | 2.6% | 2026-05-18 14:05 |