La scuola delle quote

Daniel Altmaier v Rinky Hijikata

Inizio: 2026-05-18 14:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Casa)

Previsione 71.02%1.41quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -5.23%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.28%70.93%71.11%71.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.69%75.19%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Rinky Hijikata (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.98%3.45quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.435%
Kelly -0.616%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.20%29.07%28.89%30.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.213.203.4033.33%31.12%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -1.99%E -1.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -9.01%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 14:05
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -1.99%E -1.44%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -9.01%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -1.77%E -0.522%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-18 14:05
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-18 14:05
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 13:52
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:05
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.41%E -2.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 14:05
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.48%E -0.435%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-18 14:05
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:04
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:05
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.12%E -3.05%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 14:05
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -3.22%E -0.963%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 14:05
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 14:05
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 14:05
ReBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 14:05
Bet Right1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.83%E -3.60%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 14:05
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -2.06%E -0.609%K -0.865%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-18 14:05
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.93%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-18 14:05
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:05
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:05
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:05
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:05
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:05
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:05
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 14:05
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-18 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:05
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:05
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:05
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:05
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 14:05
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.17%E -3.28%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-18 14:05
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-18 14:05
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.54%E -4.16%K -16.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.07%E -4.36%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:05
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -2.64%E -0.785%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:04
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 14:05
theScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 14:05
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 14:05
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.72%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 14:05
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -6.25%E -4.73%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -11.62%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -6.96%E -5.31%K -22.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 14:05
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -4.09%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:05
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 14:05
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.67%E -5.90%K -25.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.27%E -2.27%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 14:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-18 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-18 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-18 14:05
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-18 14:05
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%2.2%2026-05-18 14:05
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 71.67%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.33%2.6%2026-05-18 14:05