Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur v Tommy Paul

Início: 2026-05-22 15:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Previsão 58.38%1.71odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.787%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.70%58.43%58.44%60.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.621.631.6965.79%61.67%61.35%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 41.62%2.40odd justa
EV -0.122%
Vantagem -0.051%
Kelly -0.087%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.28%41.57%41.56%43.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.272.252.4045.45%43.96%44.44%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex de Minaur (Local): 58.38%; Tommy Paul (Visitante): 41.62%. Para Tommy Paul (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.403. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.400, com valor esperado de -0.122%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.33%E -0.787%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 15:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 15:29
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:31
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:31
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 15:27
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.95%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:30
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:30
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.954%E -0.401%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.954%E -0.401%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 15:30
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:30
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:29
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.122%E -0.051%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 15:31
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 15:31
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 15:30
ReBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:29
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:31
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:28
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -7.17%E -4.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.17%E -4.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 15:31
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.75%E -4.91%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.122%E -0.051%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.75%E -4.91%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:31
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:29
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 15:30
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.50%E -6.13%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.50%E -6.13%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:31
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -11.26%E -7.41%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-22 15:30
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-05-22 15:29