L’École des cotes

Alex de Minaur v Tommy Paul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 15:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Prévision 58.38%1.71cote équitable
EV -1.33%
Avantage -0.787%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.70%58.43%58.44%60.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.621.631.6965.79%61.67%61.35%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.62%2.40cote équitable
EV -0.122%
Avantage -0.051%
Kelly -0.087%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.28%41.57%41.56%43.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.272.252.4045.45%43.96%44.44%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.33%E -0.787%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 15:31
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 15:29
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:31
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:31
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 15:27
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.95%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:31
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:30
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:29
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.954%E -0.401%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.954%E -0.401%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 15:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.122%E -0.051%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 15:31
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 15:31
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 15:30
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:29
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:29
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:30
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:31
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:28
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:29
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -7.17%E -4.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.17%E -4.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 15:31
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.75%E -4.91%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.122%E -0.051%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.75%E -4.91%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 15:30
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:31
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 15:30
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.50%E -6.13%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.50%E -6.13%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:31
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -11.26%E -7.41%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-22 15:30
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-05-22 15:29