مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex de Minaur v Tommy Paul

البداية: 2026-05-22 15:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex de Minaur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.38%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.33%
الأفضلية -0.787%
Kelly -1.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.70%58.43%58.44%60.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.621.631.6965.79%61.67%61.35%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Tommy Paul (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.62%2.40السعر العادل
EV -0.122%
الأفضلية -0.051%
Kelly -0.087%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.28%41.57%41.56%43.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.272.252.4045.45%43.96%44.44%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -1.33%E -0.787%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-22 15:31
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 15:29
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -1.91%E -1.14%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:31
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:30
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.50%E -1.50%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 15:31
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-22 15:27
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -5.95%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 15:30
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.67%E -2.22%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 15:31
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:30
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:30
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:29
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.25%E -2.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:31
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.954%E -0.401%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 15:30
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.954%E -0.401%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-22 15:30
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.83%E -2.97%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:29
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.42%E -3.34%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.122%E -0.051%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 15:31
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 15:31
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.00%E -3.73%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 15:30
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 15:29
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 15:29
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:30
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 15:31
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:28
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.59%E -4.12%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:29
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -7.17%E -4.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 15:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.17%E -4.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 15:31
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -7.75%E -4.91%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -0.122%E -0.051%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.75%E -4.91%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-22 15:30
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-22 15:31
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:31
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 15:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.34%E -5.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.36%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-22 15:30
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.50%E -6.13%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.50%E -6.13%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 15:31
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -11.26%E -7.41%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -2.20%E -0.937%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-22 15:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-05-22 15:31
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-22 15:30
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-05-22 15:29