L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Arthur Gea
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Prévision 47.40%2.11cote équitable
EV +8.06%
Avantage +3.54%
Kelly +6.30%
Croissance +0.508%
avec la cote maximale 2.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.42%47.43%47.41%51.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.002.002.2855.56%50.01%50.00%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arthur Gea (Visiteur)
Prévision 52.60%1.90cote équitable
EV +0.472%
Avantage +0.247%
Kelly +0.519%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.52%52.57%52.59%57.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.771.751.9159.88%56.35%57.14%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +8.06%E +3.54%K +6.30%G +0.508% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -11.63%E -6.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-19 10:36 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +8.06%E +3.54%K +6.30%G +0.508% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -11.63%E -6.92%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-19 10:36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.24%EV +0.955%E +0.448%K +0.845%G +0.008% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.76%EV -7.42%E -4.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -0.467%E -0.222%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.05%E -5.88%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.467%E -0.222%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.15%E -7.28%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -1.89%E -0.912%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.42%E -4.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.89%E -0.912%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.89%E -0.912%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.89%E -0.912%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.89%E -0.912%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| betPARX | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -1.89%E -0.912%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TAB | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.84%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.94%E -4.54%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.84%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.94%E -4.54%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.84%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.94%E -4.54%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.84%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -2.84%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.52%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.84%E -1.38%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.57%E -6.22%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.73%E -2.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.37%E -3.58%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.00%E -5.20%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.21%E -2.60%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.52%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.63%E -0.873%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.68%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.31%E -2.95%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.58%E -3.89%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.94%E -4.54%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -8.05%E -4.15%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -4.79%E -2.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -4.79%E -2.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -9.00%E -4.69%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -4.79%E -2.65%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.74%E -2.04%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.31%E -2.95%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.47%E -4.96%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.47%E -4.87%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -9.95%E -5.23%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.52%E -5.54%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.37%E -6.08%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.63%E -0.873%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.32%E -6.66%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.68%E -1.45%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.26%E -7.25%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.472%E +0.247%K +0.519%G +0.002% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -14.69%E -8.16%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV +0.472%E +0.247%K +0.519%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Novig | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68% | 3.5% | 2026-05-19 10:49 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65% | 3.9% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31% | 4.8% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.36% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 53.64% | 17.2% | 2026-05-19 10:50 |