Language:English
Terence Atmane v Daniil Medvedev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Terence Atmane (Local)
Prediction 18.98%5.27fair odd
EV +3.24%
Edge +0.595%
Kelly +0.729%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 5.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.45%19.01%18.96%21.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.844.895.4423.26%20.66%20.45%18.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniil Medvedev (Visit)
Prediction 81.02%1.23fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -5.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.57%80.99%81.04%82.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.83%84.75%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 18.98%; Daniil Medvedev (Visit): 81.02%. For Terence Atmane (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.95%EV +3.24%E +0.595%K +0.729%G +0.024% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.05%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.580%E +0.110%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.580%E +0.110%K +0.135%G +0.001% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.25%E -8.26%K -77.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-17 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.32%E -0.253%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -1.32%E -0.253%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 16:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.32%E -0.253%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -1.70%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -1.70%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -2.27%E -0.440%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.22%E -0.630%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:21 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.63%E -6.70%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.63%E -6.70%K -54.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -5.87%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.39%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.15%E -0.945%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 16:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 16:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 16:21 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -18.40%E -4.28%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66% | 2.9% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55% | 3.0% | 2026-06-17 16:20 |