L’École des cotes

Terence Atmane v Daniil Medvedev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prévision 18.98%5.27cote équitable
EV +3.24%
Avantage +0.595%
Kelly +0.729%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 5.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.45%19.01%18.96%21.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.844.895.4423.26%20.66%20.45%18.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.02%1.23cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.945%
Kelly -5.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.57%80.99%81.04%82.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.181.181.2289.29%84.83%84.75%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.44I 18.38%NM 17.95%EV +3.24%E +0.595%K +0.729%G +0.024%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.05%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-17 16:20
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +0.580%E +0.110%K +0.135%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-17 16:20
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV +0.580%E +0.110%K +0.135%G +0.001%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -9.25%E -8.26%K -77.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 16:19
Unibet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV -1.32%E -0.253%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 16:20
Betclic (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -1.32%E -0.253%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 16:19
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -1.32%E -0.253%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 16:20
LowVig.ag5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -1.70%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
BetOnline.ag5.18I 19.31%NM 18.55%EV -1.70%E -0.328%K -0.406%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.45%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 16:20
DraftKings5.15I 19.42%NM 18.51%EV -2.27%E -0.440%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.49%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-17 16:20
FanDuel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -3.22%E -0.630%K -0.784%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:20
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:20
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 16:20
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Marathon Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 16:20
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 16:20
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.63%E -6.70%K -54.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 16:20
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.11%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.63%E -6.70%K -54.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 16:20
1xBet4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -5.87%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.58%E -3.01%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 16:19
Coolbet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 16:20
Betsson4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 16:20
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.01%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 16:20
GTbets4.88I 20.49%NM 20.00%EV -7.39%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.00%EV -1.15%E -0.945%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Betr (AU)4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:20
theScore Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -7.96%E -1.64%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:20
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 16:20
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 16:14
SportsBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.91%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.82%E -5.93%K -45.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 16:20
BetMGM4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:19
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -9.86%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Grosvenor4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Casumo4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Bally Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:19
betPARX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:19
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 16:20
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -4.39%E -3.72%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 16:20
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -12.70%E -2.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -6.01%E -5.18%K -37.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-17 16:20
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 16:20
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 16:20
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 16:21
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -14.60%E -3.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-17 16:20
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -16.50%E -3.75%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -2.77%E -2.31%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 16:20
PMU (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -18.40%E -4.28%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -5.20%E -4.45%K -30.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-17 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-06-17 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-06-17 16:20
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.34%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.66%2.9%2026-06-17 16:20
Novig5.26I 19.01%NM 18.45%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.55%3.0%2026-06-17 16:20