Language:English
Tallon Griekspoor v Sho Shimabukuro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Prediction 56.99%1.75fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.91%56.94%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.74%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sho Shimabukuro (Visit)
Prediction 43.01%2.33fair odd
EV -0.218%
Edge -0.094%
Kelly -0.165%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.09%43.06%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.152.3248.78%45.95%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 56.99%; Sho Shimabukuro (Visit): 43.01%. For Sho Shimabukuro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.32, with an expected value of -0.218%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 10:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 10:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 10:57 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.95%E -2.24%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.218%E -0.094%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.218%E -0.094%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.09%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 10:57 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 10:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -4.09%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.218%E -0.094%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 10:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.52%E -6.70%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 10:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92% | 0.2% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 11:00 |