La escuela de los momios

Tallon Griekspoor v Sho Shimabukuro

Inicio: 2026-06-16 11:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Predicción 56.99%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -3.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.91%56.94%58.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.671.671.7163.69%59.74%59.88%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sho Shimabukuro (Visitante)

Predicción 43.01%2.33momio equitativo
EV -0.218%
Ventaja -0.094%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%43.09%43.06%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.152.3248.78%45.95%46.51%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -2.55%E -1.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -7.96%E -3.72%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.82%E -4.16%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 11:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.12%E -1.83%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.83%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:56
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.94%E -0.850%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 11:00
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:00
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.67%E -3.07%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:54
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 10:54
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 11:00
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.69%E -2.18%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 10:57
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:00
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:00
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 10:59
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.26%E -2.53%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.95%E -2.24%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 11:00
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:54
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.83%E -2.89%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:54
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.218%E -0.094%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 11:00
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -0.218%E -0.094%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 11:00
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.09%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 11:00
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.52%E -2.04%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.40%E -3.25%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 11:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 10:57
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:00
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 11:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 10:58
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.97%E -3.62%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 11:00
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 10:59
DraftKings1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -4.09%E -1.83%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:00
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 11:00
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.54%E -3.99%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.11%E -4.36%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -7.53%E -3.50%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 10:55
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -0.218%E -0.094%K -0.165%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:55
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 10:58
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.68%E -4.74%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.68%E -4.61%K -8.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 11:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.25%E -5.12%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.38%E -2.45%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 11:00
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.52%E -6.70%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.23%E -1.44%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 10:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-06-16 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-06-16 11:00
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%3.5%2026-06-16 11:00