StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Altmaier

Matchstart: 2026-06-15 11:40 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

65 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Hemma)

Prognos 51.52%1.94rättvist odds
EV +5.62%
Fördel +2.74%
Kelly +5.35%
Tillväxt +0.300%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.05

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.91%52.16%51.09%60.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.531.801.802.0565.36%55.57%55.56%48.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Borta)

Prognos 48.48%2.06rättvist odds
EV +19.26%
Fördel +7.83%
Kelly +13.19%
Tillväxt +2.54%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.46

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.36%47.84%48.91%54.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.702.011.952.4658.82%49.73%51.28%40.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Nikoloz Basilashvili (Hemma): 51.52%; Daniel Altmaier (Borta): 48.48%. För Daniel Altmaier (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.06. 24 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.46, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +19.26%.

Spelbolagsodds (65 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -17.05%E -10.59%K -27.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +19.26%E +7.83%K +13.19%G +2.54%2.8%2026-06-15 10:50
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -18.08%E -11.37%K -30.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +18.78%E +7.66%K +12.95%G +2.43%3.7%2026-06-15 11:00
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -18.08%E -11.37%K -30.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +16.35%E +6.81%K +11.68%G +1.91%4.6%2026-06-15 11:07
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +15.87%E +6.64%K +11.42%G +1.81%3.6%2026-06-15 10:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +15.87%E +6.64%K +11.42%G +1.81%3.6%2026-06-15 11:01
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -21.18%E -13.84%K -39.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +13.93%E +5.93%K +10.32%G +1.44%7.9%2026-06-15 10:50
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -17.05%E -10.59%K -27.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +12.47%E +5.38%K +9.45%G +1.18%5.2%2026-06-15 11:06
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -20.14%E -13.00%K -36.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV +12.47%E +5.38%K +9.45%G +1.18%7.6%2026-06-15 11:00
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +11.99%E +5.19%K +9.15%G +1.10%5.0%2026-06-15 10:50
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%2.0%2026-06-15 10:59
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -14.99%E -9.09%K -23.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%4.1%2026-06-15 11:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%5.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%5.2%2026-06-15 10:58
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%5.2%2026-06-15 10:59
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%7.2%2026-06-15 11:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%7.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%7.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +9.08%E +4.04%K +7.26%G +0.660%6.2%2026-06-15 11:06
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +9.08%E +4.04%K +7.26%G +0.660%6.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -14.48%E -8.72%K -21.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +8.11%E +3.64%K +6.59%G +0.535%5.1%2026-06-15 11:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.96%E -8.36%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.66%E +3.03%K +5.55%G +0.369%5.3%2026-06-15 10:50
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.99%E -9.09%K -23.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.66%E +3.03%K +5.55%G +0.369%6.1%2026-06-15 10:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +1.81%E +0.861%K +1.64%G +0.030%6.4%2026-06-15 11:08
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -16.02%E -9.83%K -25.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV +1.81%E +0.861%K +1.64%G +0.030%9.0%2026-06-15 11:09
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:11
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -10.36%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -2.07%E -1.02%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:09
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.81%E -4.98%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.87%E -6.28%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 11:10
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 11:10
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:10
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.23%E -3.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 11:11
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -1.08%E -0.564%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 11:11
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 11:11
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV +2.52%E +1.27%K +2.55%G +0.064%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 11:10
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.60%E -0.836%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.60%E -0.836%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 11:11
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.19%E -8.02%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 11:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.30%EV -6.75%E -3.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -14.67%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-15 11:11
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -16.13%E -9.32%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -16.61%E -9.66%K -23.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -16.61%E -9.66%K -23.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -17.58%E -10.34%K -25.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV +1.49%E +0.758%K +1.54%G +0.023%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -17.58%E -10.34%K -25.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-06-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%4.0%2026-06-15 11:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%6.1%2026-06-15 11:09