L’École des cotes

Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Altmaier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-15 11:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)

Prévision 51.52%1.94cote équitable
EV +5.62%
Avantage +2.74%
Kelly +5.35%
Croissance +0.300%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.91%52.16%51.09%60.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.801.802.0565.36%55.57%55.56%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.48%2.06cote équitable
EV +19.26%
Avantage +7.83%
Kelly +13.19%
Croissance +2.54%

avec la cote maximale 2.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.36%47.84%48.91%54.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.702.011.952.4658.82%49.73%51.28%40.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -17.05%E -10.59%K -27.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +19.26%E +7.83%K +13.19%G +2.54%2.8%2026-06-15 10:50
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -18.08%E -11.37%K -30.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +18.78%E +7.66%K +12.95%G +2.43%3.7%2026-06-15 11:00
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -18.08%E -11.37%K -30.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +16.35%E +6.81%K +11.68%G +1.91%4.6%2026-06-15 11:07
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +15.87%E +6.64%K +11.42%G +1.81%3.6%2026-06-15 10:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +15.87%E +6.64%K +11.42%G +1.81%3.6%2026-06-15 11:01
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -21.18%E -13.84%K -39.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +13.93%E +5.93%K +10.32%G +1.44%7.9%2026-06-15 10:50
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -17.05%E -10.59%K -27.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +12.47%E +5.38%K +9.45%G +1.18%5.2%2026-06-15 11:06
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -20.14%E -13.00%K -36.63%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV +12.47%E +5.38%K +9.45%G +1.18%7.6%2026-06-15 11:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +11.99%E +5.19%K +9.15%G +1.10%5.0%2026-06-15 10:50
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%2.0%2026-06-15 10:59
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -14.99%E -9.09%K -23.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%4.1%2026-06-15 11:00
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%5.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%5.2%2026-06-15 10:58
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%5.2%2026-06-15 10:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%7.2%2026-06-15 11:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%7.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02%7.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +9.08%E +4.04%K +7.26%G +0.660%6.2%2026-06-15 11:06
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +9.08%E +4.04%K +7.26%G +0.660%6.2%2026-06-15 10:50
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -14.48%E -8.72%K -21.94%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +8.11%E +3.64%K +6.59%G +0.535%5.1%2026-06-15 11:00
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.96%E -8.36%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.66%E +3.03%K +5.55%G +0.369%5.3%2026-06-15 10:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.99%E -9.09%K -23.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.66%E +3.03%K +5.55%G +0.369%6.1%2026-06-15 10:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +1.81%E +0.861%K +1.64%G +0.030%6.4%2026-06-15 11:08
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -16.02%E -9.83%K -25.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV +1.81%E +0.861%K +1.64%G +0.030%9.0%2026-06-15 11:09
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:11
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -10.36%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -2.07%E -1.02%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:09
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 11:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.81%E -4.98%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 11:10
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.87%E -6.28%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-15 11:10
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-15 11:10
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 11:10
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 11:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.23%E -3.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
DraftKings1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-15 11:11
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-15 11:10
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -1.08%E -0.564%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-15 11:11
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 11:11
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV +2.52%E +1.27%K +2.55%G +0.064%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 11:10
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-15 11:10
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.60%E -0.836%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.60%E -0.836%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 11:11
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.19%E -8.02%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-15 11:10
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.30%EV -6.75%E -3.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -14.67%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-15 11:11
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 11:10
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 11:10
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -16.13%E -9.32%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-15 11:10
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -16.61%E -9.66%K -23.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -16.61%E -9.66%K -23.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -17.58%E -10.34%K -25.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-15 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV +1.49%E +0.758%K +1.54%G +0.023%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -17.58%E -10.34%K -25.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-06-15 11:10
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-06-15 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%1.9%2026-06-15 11:10
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%4.0%2026-06-15 11:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%6.1%2026-06-15 11:09