La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Nikoloz Basilashvili v Daniel Altmaier
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nikoloz Basilashvili (Local)
Predicción 51.52%1.94momio equitativo
EV +5.62%
Ventaja +2.74%
Kelly +5.35%
Crecimiento +0.300%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.91%52.16%51.09%60.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.801.802.0565.36%55.57%55.56%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Daniel Altmaier (Visitante)
Predicción 48.48%2.06momio equitativo
EV +19.26%
Ventaja +7.83%
Kelly +13.19%
Crecimiento +2.54%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.36%47.84%48.91%54.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.702.011.952.4658.82%49.73%51.28%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -17.05%E -10.59%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV +19.26%E +7.83%K +13.19%G +2.54% | 2.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -18.08%E -11.37%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +18.78%E +7.66%K +12.95%G +2.43% | 3.7% | 2026-06-15 11:00 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -18.08%E -11.37%K -30.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +16.35%E +6.81%K +11.68%G +1.91% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 11:07 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +15.87%E +6.64%K +11.42%G +1.81% | 3.6% | 2026-06-15 10:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV +15.87%E +6.64%K +11.42%G +1.81% | 3.6% | 2026-06-15 11:01 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -21.18%E -13.84%K -39.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV +13.93%E +5.93%K +10.32%G +1.44% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -17.05%E -10.59%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +12.47%E +5.38%K +9.45%G +1.18% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 11:06 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -20.14%E -13.00%K -36.63%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV +12.47%E +5.38%K +9.45%G +1.18% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 11:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV +11.99%E +5.19%K +9.15%G +1.10% | 5.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 2.0% | 2026-06-15 10:59 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -14.99%E -9.09%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 4.1% | 2026-06-15 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 10:58 |
| ReBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 5.2% | 2026-06-15 10:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 11:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -19.11%E -12.17%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +11.50%E +5.00%K +8.85%G +1.02% | 7.2% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +9.08%E +4.04%K +7.26%G +0.660% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 11:06 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -16.54%E -10.21%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +9.08%E +4.04%K +7.26%G +0.660% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -14.48%E -8.72%K -21.94%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +8.11%E +3.64%K +6.59%G +0.535% | 5.1% | 2026-06-15 11:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.96%E -8.36%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +6.66%E +3.03%K +5.55%G +0.369% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -14.99%E -9.09%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +6.66%E +3.03%K +5.55%G +0.369% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +1.81%E +0.861%K +1.64%G +0.030% | 6.4% | 2026-06-15 11:08 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -16.02%E -9.83%K -25.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV +1.81%E +0.861%K +1.64%G +0.030% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 11:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -11.90%E -6.96%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -12.42%E -7.30%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -0.615%E -0.300%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -10.36%E -5.95%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -2.07%E -1.02%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 11:09 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.81%E -4.98%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.87%E -6.28%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.46%E -2.80%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.72%E -3.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.26%E -4.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.40%E -3.88%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -6.23%E -3.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -2.11%E -1.11%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -8.86%E -4.71%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -1.08%E -0.564%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.53%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.31%E -5.57%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -9.33%E -5.30%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -10.80%E -5.87%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV +2.52%E +1.27%K +2.55%G +0.064% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -11.28%E -6.16%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.60%E -0.836%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.60%E -0.836%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -3.66%E -1.96%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -12.74%E -7.08%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -14.19%E -8.02%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.30%EV -6.75%E -3.73%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.70%EV -14.67%E -8.34%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-15 11:11 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Casumo | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| betPARX | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV +0.463%E +0.238%K +0.488%G +0.002% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -15.16%E -8.66%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +5.62%E +2.74%K +5.35%G +0.300% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -15.64%E -8.99%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -16.13%E -9.32%K -22.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -16.61%E -9.66%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV +4.07%E +2.01%K +3.99%G +0.162% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -16.61%E -9.66%K -23.07%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV +3.04%E +1.52%K +3.04%G +0.092% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -17.58%E -10.34%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV +1.49%E +0.758%K +1.54%G +0.023% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -17.58%E -10.34%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29% | 1.9% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 11:10 |
| Novig | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24% | 6.1% | 2026-06-15 11:09 |