Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Ethan Quinn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 67.68%1.48fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -5.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.36%67.57%67.64%68.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.411.4474.07%71.25%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ethan Quinn (Visit)
Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.700%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.40%32.43%32.36%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.892.903.0538.46%34.56%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 67.68%; Ethan Quinn (Visit): 32.32%. For Ethan Quinn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (67 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -3.70%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -5.31%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -5.31%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -9.19%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.67%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.44%E -0.471%K -0.700%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.99%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -2.73%E -0.906%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.67%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -5.96%E -2.05%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.84%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.16%EV -6.61%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 09:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.67%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.1% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-06-16 09:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33% | 3.4% | 2026-06-16 09:30 |