La escuela de los momios

Karen Khachanov v Ethan Quinn

Inicio: 2026-06-16 09:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

67 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Local)

Predicción 67.68%1.48momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -5.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.36%67.57%67.64%68.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.401.411.4474.07%71.25%70.92%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ethan Quinn (Visitante)

Predicción 32.32%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.471%
Kelly -0.700%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.40%32.43%32.36%35.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.892.903.0538.46%34.56%34.48%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (67 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -3.70%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-16 09:29
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 09:30
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.54%E -1.76%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.98%E -6.15%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 09:29
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -5.31%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 09:30
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -5.31%E -1.81%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 09:31
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 09:30
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -9.19%E -3.27%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 09:29
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.21%E -2.25%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:30
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 09:30
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.67%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 09:29
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:29
ReBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:28
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 09:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 09:30
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.89%E -2.74%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -12.75%E -4.72%K -7.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:29
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.44%E -0.471%K -0.700%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 09:30
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -4.99%E -1.70%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 09:30
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:31
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:31
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:31
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:31
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 09:31
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 09:30
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:29
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.57%E -3.24%K -11.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.90%E -2.77%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 09:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:30
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:31
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 09:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:29
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:29
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 09:29
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 09:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 09:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 09:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 09:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.13%E -4.05%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 09:29
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.05%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 09:30
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.92%E -4.26%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:29
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -2.73%E -0.906%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 09:30
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.67%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 09:30
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -5.96%E -2.05%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-16 09:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:28
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.60%E -4.78%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 09:30
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.28%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 09:29
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 67.84%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.16%EV -6.61%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 09:29
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.69%EV -7.27%E -5.31%K -19.66%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.31%EV -7.25%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 09:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.93%E -2.41%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 09:30
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.95%E -5.85%K -22.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.51%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 09:31
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.63%E -6.39%K -24.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -4.67%E -1.58%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 09:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-06-16 09:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-06-16 09:31
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%1.1%2026-06-16 09:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-06-16 09:30
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-06-16 09:31
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%3.4%2026-06-16 09:30