Language:English
Hubert Hurkacz v Daniel Altmaier
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prediction 74.78%1.34fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -9.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.54%75.01%74.72%78.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.241.251.3087.72%80.60%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daniel Altmaier (Visit)
Prediction 25.22%3.97fair odd
EV +13.48%
Edge +3.00%
Kelly +3.85%
Growth +0.519%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%24.99%25.28%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.913.854.5030.77%25.57%25.97%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hubert Hurkacz (Local): 74.78%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 25.22%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +13.48%E +3.00%K +3.85%G +0.519% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +13.48%E +3.00%K +3.85%G +0.519% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +13.48%E +3.00%K +3.85%G +0.519% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV +9.70%E +2.23%K +2.90%G +0.281% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -8.02%E -6.52%K -34.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +8.44%E +1.96%K +2.56%G +0.216% | 4.6% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +8.44%E +1.96%K +2.56%G +0.216% | 7.3% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +8.44%E +1.96%K +2.56%G +0.216% | 7.3% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +7.18%E +1.69%K +2.21%G +0.159% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +7.18%E +1.69%K +2.21%G +0.159% | 7.6% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -12.51%E -10.69%K -73.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV +5.92%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.109% | 9.3% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -12.51%E -10.69%K -73.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV +5.92%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.109% | 9.3% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.38%EV -4.28%E -3.34%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.62%EV +4.40%E +1.06%K +1.40%G +0.062% | 2.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.78%E -4.58%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 5.6% | 2026-06-17 13:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.77%E -7.19%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -14.75%E -12.94%K -105.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003% | 12.7% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.621%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.621%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV +0.117%E +0.029%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-17 13:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -1.14%E -0.292%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 13:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.78%E -4.58%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.91%E -0.756%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:36 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.91%E -0.756%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.51%E -7.86%K -45.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.91%E -0.756%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 13:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.77%E -7.19%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.77%E -7.19%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 13:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.78%E -2.14%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.28%E -3.34%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -4.28%E -3.34%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -7.70%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.78%E -4.58%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.78%E -2.14%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 13:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.78%E -2.14%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.02%E -6.52%K -34.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -18.04%E -5.55%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-06-17 13:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49% | 6.6% | 2026-06-17 13:40 |