L’École des cotes

Hubert Hurkacz v Daniel Altmaier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 13:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

Prévision 74.78%1.34cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -9.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.54%75.01%74.72%78.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.241.251.3087.72%80.60%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.22%3.97cote équitable
EV +13.48%
Avantage +3.00%
Kelly +3.85%
Croissance +0.519%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.05%24.99%25.28%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.913.854.5030.77%25.57%25.97%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +13.48%E +3.00%K +3.85%G +0.519%5.6%2026-06-17 13:40
BetRivers1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +13.48%E +3.00%K +3.85%G +0.519%5.6%2026-06-17 13:40
betPARX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +13.48%E +3.00%K +3.85%G +0.519%5.6%2026-06-17 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Casumo1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +10.96%E +2.49%K +3.22%G +0.353%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV +9.70%E +2.23%K +2.90%G +0.281%7.0%2026-06-17 13:40
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -8.02%E -6.52%K -34.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +8.44%E +1.96%K +2.56%G +0.216%4.6%2026-06-17 13:40
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +8.44%E +1.96%K +2.56%G +0.216%7.3%2026-06-17 13:40
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV +8.44%E +1.96%K +2.56%G +0.216%7.3%2026-06-17 13:40
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -10.26%E -8.55%K -51.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +7.18%E +1.69%K +2.21%G +0.159%6.9%2026-06-17 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -11.01%E -9.25%K -57.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV +7.18%E +1.69%K +2.21%G +0.159%7.6%2026-06-17 13:40
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -12.51%E -10.69%K -73.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV +5.92%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.109%9.3%2026-06-17 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -12.51%E -10.69%K -73.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV +5.92%E +1.41%K +1.85%G +0.109%9.3%2026-06-17 13:40
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.38%EV -4.28%E -3.34%K -15.28%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.62%EV +4.40%E +1.06%K +1.40%G +0.062%2.3%2026-06-17 13:30
BetAnything1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.78%E -4.58%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%4.4%2026-06-17 13:30
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%5.0%2026-06-17 13:24
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%5.0%2026-06-17 13:29
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%5.0%2026-06-17 13:30
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%5.6%2026-06-17 13:18
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%5.6%2026-06-17 13:18
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.77%E -7.19%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%7.0%2026-06-17 13:30
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -14.75%E -12.94%K -105.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV +0.873%E +0.218%K +0.291%G +0.003%12.7%2026-06-17 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.621%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.8%2026-06-17 13:30
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.621%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.8%2026-06-17 13:30
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV +0.117%E +0.029%K +0.039%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-17 13:24
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -1.14%E -0.292%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 13:28
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.78%E -4.58%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.91%E -0.756%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:36
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.91%E -0.756%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 13:30
Fliff1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -9.51%E -7.86%K -45.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -2.91%E -0.756%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 13:40
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 13:40
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 13:40
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 13:40
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 13:30
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 13:30
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 13:40
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 13:39
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.77%E -7.19%K -39.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 13:24
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.77%E -7.19%K -39.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 13:29
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.78%E -2.14%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.28%E -3.34%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 13:40
theScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 13:30
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -4.28%E -3.34%K -15.28%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -7.70%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 13:40
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 13:40
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.78%E -4.58%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 13:30
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.52%E -5.22%K -26.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 13:30
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 13:40
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -5.03%E -3.96%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-17 13:40
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.78%E -2.14%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 13:39
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.53%E -2.74%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.27%E -5.86%K -30.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.74%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 13:40
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.78%E -2.14%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 13:39
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.02%E -6.52%K -34.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -18.04%E -5.55%K -8.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-17 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-17 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-17 13:30
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-17 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-17 13:40
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-06-17 13:40
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 77.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.49%6.6%2026-06-17 13:40