A Escola das Odds

Frances Tiafoe v Sho Shimabukuro

Início: 2026-06-17 11:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Previsão 67.88%1.47odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -1.56%
Kelly -5.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%67.92%67.91%69.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.64%71.43%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sho Shimabukuro (Visitante)

Previsão 32.12%3.11odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.458%
Kelly -0.679%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.86%32.08%32.09%33.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.953.0736.36%34.13%33.90%32.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.25%E -1.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -3.01%E -0.997%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 11:30
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.47%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 11:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.05%E -0.671%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.05%E -0.671%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 11:28
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.90%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 11:29
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:28
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:29
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.58%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -6.22%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:29
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:29
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.83%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.83%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:29
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:30
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.22%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 11:30
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:29
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.00%E -5.11%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -1.40%E -0.458%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 11:30
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.00%E -5.11%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 11:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.00%E -5.11%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 11:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:30
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -4.62%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 11:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 11:30
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.47%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.36%E -6.19%K -23.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%3.4%2026-06-17 11:30