مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Sho Shimabukuro

البداية: 2026-06-17 11:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.88%1.47السعر العادل
EV -2.25%
الأفضلية -1.56%
Kelly -5.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.27%67.92%67.91%69.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.351.401.401.4474.07%71.64%71.43%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sho Shimabukuro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.12%3.11السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.458%
Kelly -0.679%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.86%32.08%32.09%33.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.932.953.0736.36%34.13%33.90%32.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.25%E -1.56%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -3.01%E -0.997%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-17 11:30
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.47%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-17 11:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.60%E -2.54%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.05%E -0.671%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.05%E -0.671%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 11:28
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.28%E -3.04%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.90%E -2.01%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 11:30
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -4.94%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-17 11:29
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:28
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:29
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -5.58%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 11:30
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.59%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.41%EV -6.22%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 11:30
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:29
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 11:29
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 11:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.83%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.83%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:29
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.08%E -3.60%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 11:30
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.96%E -3.54%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.64%E -4.06%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:30
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-17 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -6.22%E -2.13%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-17 11:30
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.32%E -4.58%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:29
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -7.00%E -5.11%K -18.91%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -1.40%E -0.458%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 11:30
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.00%E -5.11%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 11:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -7.00%E -5.11%K -18.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.86%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 11:30
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 11:30
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -4.62%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 11:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.51%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 11:30
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.68%E -5.65%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.47%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-17 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.36%E -6.19%K -23.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.26%E -1.78%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 11:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%2.8%2026-06-17 11:30
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%3.4%2026-06-17 11:30