Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev v Yannick Hanfmann

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 13:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 85.41%1.17fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -18.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%85.25%85.41%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1493.46%89.93%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yannick Hanfmann (Visit)

Prediction 14.59%6.85fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.355%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%14.75%14.59%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.396.507.0018.18%15.65%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 85.41%; Yannick Hanfmann (Visit): 14.59%. For Yannick Hanfmann (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.85. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%3.6%2026-06-18 13:30
William Hill🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +0.671%E +0.097%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -0.788%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.90%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.10%EV -1.37%E -0.203%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.61%E -8.05%K -123.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.25%E -0.335%K -0.394%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%EV -2.63%E -2.31%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%EV -2.68%E -0.403%K -0.474%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-18 13:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -3.56%E -0.539%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -3.56%E -0.539%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.71%E -0.562%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.71%E -0.562%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:29
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.71%E -0.562%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -4.73%E -0.724%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:29
Betway🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
BetUS🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -5.89%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.62%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.62%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.62%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.35%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -7.35%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 13:29
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.81%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.81%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.90%E -6.33%K -76.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.38%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.38%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.11%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.11%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.63%E -2.31%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35%1.0%2026-06-18 13:30
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-06-18 13:30