L’École des cotes

Alexander Zverev v Yannick Hanfmann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 13:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 85.41%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -18.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.83%85.25%85.41%86.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.111.111.1493.46%89.93%90.09%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yannick Hanfmann (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.59%6.85cote équitable
EV +2.13%
Avantage +0.304%
Kelly +0.355%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.58%14.75%14.59%17.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.396.507.0018.18%15.65%15.38%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%3.6%2026-06-18 13:30
William Hill1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.13%E +0.304%K +0.355%G +0.008%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +0.671%E +0.097%K +0.114%G +0.001%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -0.788%E -0.116%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 13:30
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 85.90%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.76I 14.79%NM 14.10%EV -1.37%E -0.203%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.61%E -8.05%K -123.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.25%E -0.335%K -0.394%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Pinnacle1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%EV -2.63%E -2.31%K -18.80%G +0.000%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%EV -2.68%E -0.403%K -0.474%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-18 13:29
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -3.56%E -0.539%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:30
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -3.56%E -0.539%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.71%E -0.562%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.71%E -0.562%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 13:29
ReBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.71%E -0.562%K -0.662%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.36%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.64%EV -4.73%E -0.724%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:29
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
BetUS1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:29
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
NetBet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.17%E -0.795%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 13:30
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -5.89%E -0.914%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 13:30
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.62%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.62%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 13:30
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.62%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Marathon Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.12%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.88%EV -7.35%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 85.23%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.77%EV -7.35%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 13:29
Bet Right1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -8.81%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.81%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
BetAnything1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 13:30
SportsBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 13:30
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.05%E -5.50%K -60.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 13:30
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.90%E -6.33%K -76.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -12.46%E -2.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.38%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 13:30
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -5.19%E -4.68%K -47.23%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -15.38%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 13:30
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.11%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Dabble (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -16.11%E -2.80%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.63%E -2.31%K -18.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 13:30
TAB1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -3.49%E -3.09%K -26.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.34%E -3.88%K -36.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.76%E -3.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 13:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-06-18 13:30
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.65%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.35%1.0%2026-06-18 13:30
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-06-18 13:30
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.73%2.9%2026-06-18 13:30