Language:English
Zachary Svajda v Adam Walton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Prediction 54.93%1.82fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.872%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%54.86%55.08%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.701.8560.61%58.00%58.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adam Walton (Visit)
Prediction 45.07%2.22fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.14%44.92%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.082.092.2052.36%48.13%47.85%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zachary Svajda (Local): 54.93%; Adam Walton (Visit): 45.07%. For Zachary Svajda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +1.61%E +0.872%K +1.90%G +0.031% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +0.515%E +0.281%K +0.621%G +0.003% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.91%E -7.28%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.68%E -0.940%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.68%E -0.940%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -1.68%E -0.940%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.80%E -2.77%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.05%E -3.95%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.838%E -0.381%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.50%E -4.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.17%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.17%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -8.82%E -5.31%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.66%E -5.95%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.838%E -0.381%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |