La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zachary Svajda v Adam Walton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Predicción 54.93%1.82momio equitativo
EV +1.61%
Ventaja +0.872%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%54.86%55.08%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.701.8560.61%58.00%58.82%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adam Walton (Visitante)
Predicción 45.07%2.22momio equitativo
EV -0.838%
Ventaja -0.381%
Kelly -0.698%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%45.14%44.92%48.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.082.092.2052.36%48.13%47.85%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV +1.61%E +0.872%K +1.90%G +0.031% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetUS | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +0.515%E +0.281%K +0.621%G +0.003% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -13.91%E -7.28%K -15.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.13%E -0.629%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 09:03 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.68%E -0.940%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.68%E -0.940%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -6.70%E -3.24%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -1.68%E -0.940%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.80%E -2.77%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -8.05%E -3.95%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 08:59 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:06 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:05 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -8.95%E -4.43%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:01 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 08:58 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 09:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.89%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.98%E -2.88%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 09:18 |
| TAB | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.53%E -3.21%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.08%E -3.55%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -0.838%E -0.381%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -4.44%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.50%E -4.19%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.63%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.85%E -4.93%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.17%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.17%E -4.25%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.72%E -4.60%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.27%E -4.95%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -8.82%E -5.31%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.86%EV -11.66%E -5.95%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-28 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.37%E -5.68%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.838%E -0.381%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |
| Novig | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 09:20 |