Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.21
assuming max odds 1.81
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wu Yibing (Local): 45.90%; Marcos Giron (Visit): 54.10%. For Wu Yibing (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV +1.43%E +0.647%K +1.18%G +0.017% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -10.73%E -6.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.73%E -6.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.70%E -1.27%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.08%E -1.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.08%E -1.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.00%E -2.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.00%E -2.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 15:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.37%E -3.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:57 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -9.13%E -4.61%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 16:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -9.13%E -4.61%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -11.27%E -6.87%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -9.59%E -4.87%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -10.73%E -6.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.50%E -5.39%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.50%E -5.39%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 15:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |