Idioma:Español
Wu Yibing v Marcos Giron
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wu Yibing (Local)
Predicción 45.90%2.18momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.647%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.75%45.69%45.70%48.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.2151.28%48.64%48.78%45.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Marcos Giron (Visitante)
Predicción 54.10%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%54.31%54.30%57.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.641.741.741.8160.98%57.45%57.47%55.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wu Yibing (Local): 45.90%; Marcos Giron (Visitante): 54.10%. Para Wu Yibing (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.18. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.21, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV +1.43%E +0.647%K +1.18%G +0.017% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -10.73%E -6.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.56%E -5.07%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.970%E +0.441%K +0.808%G +0.008% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.73%E -6.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.24%E -1.05%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.32%E -3.04%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.70%E -1.27%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -3.16%E -1.50%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 15:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.62%E -1.72%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.08%E -1.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.08%E -1.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.86%E -3.37%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.00%E -2.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.00%E -2.41%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 15:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.94%E -4.04%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.91%E -2.88%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -6.37%E -3.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -2.07%E -1.14%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.12%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.29%E -3.61%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.15%E -1.76%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 15:57 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.24%E -2.39%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 15:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -4.78%E -2.71%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-25 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.02%E -4.72%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -8.21%E -4.10%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -9.65%E -5.78%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -9.13%E -4.61%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 16:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -9.13%E -4.61%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -11.27%E -6.87%K -17.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -9.59%E -4.87%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -10.73%E -6.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.50%E -5.39%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.61%E -1.45%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.50%E -5.39%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.40%E -3.70%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-25 15:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-05-25 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |