La scuola delle quote

Valentin Royer v Novak Djokovic

Inizio: 2026-05-27 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Valentin Royer (Casa)

Previsione 14.20%7.04quota equa
EV +13.60%
Vantaggio +1.70%
Kelly +1.94%
Crescita +0.264%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.89%14.30%14.01%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.526.508.0018.18%15.34%15.38%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Novak Djokovic (Trasferta)

Previsione 85.80%1.17quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -2.70%
Kelly -23.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
83.33%85.70%85.99%88.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.32%90.09%88.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +13.60%E +1.70%K +1.94%G +0.264%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 12:20
FanDuel7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +10.76%E +1.38%K +1.58%G +0.170%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 12:09
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +6.50%E +0.866%K +0.999%G +0.065%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 12:10
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +6.50%E +0.866%K +0.999%G +0.065%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 13:47
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +2.95%E +0.406%K +0.471%G +0.014%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 13:20
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 05:10
Fanatics7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 07:30
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 06:00
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -0.177%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:50
Pinnacle7.02I 14.25%NM 13.87%EV -0.319%E -0.045%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.13%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 13:30
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:50
MyBookie.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:38
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:50
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:49
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:50
BetOnline.ag6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.60%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
LowVig.ag6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.60%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:20
NetBet (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:48
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:49
Fliff6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:49
GTbets6.63I 15.08%NM 14.45%EV -5.86%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.55%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:10
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 13:49
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:39
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 05:10
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:10
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:50
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:50
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:10
BetAnything6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.41%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 13:30
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:49
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:50
TAB6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:29
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 12:59
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 15:20
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.35%E -3.19%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:50
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.35%E -3.19%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:30
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -21.90%E -3.98%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-05-27 13:50
Novig7.41I 13.50%NM 13.03%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.97%3.6%2026-05-27 13:50