مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valentin Royer v Novak Djokovic

البداية: 2026-05-27 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valentin Royer (المضيف)

التنبؤ 14.20%7.04السعر العادل
EV +13.60%
الأفضلية +1.70%
Kelly +1.94%
النمو +0.264%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.89%14.30%14.01%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.526.508.0018.18%15.34%15.38%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Novak Djokovic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 85.80%1.17السعر العادل
EV -3.05%
الأفضلية -2.70%
Kelly -23.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.13

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.33%85.70%85.99%88.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.32%90.09%88.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +13.60%E +1.70%K +1.94%G +0.264%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 12:20
FanDuel7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +10.76%E +1.38%K +1.58%G +0.170%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 12:09
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +6.50%E +0.866%K +0.999%G +0.065%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 12:10
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +6.50%E +0.866%K +0.999%G +0.065%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 13:47
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +2.95%E +0.406%K +0.471%G +0.014%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 13:20
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 05:10
Fanatics7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 07:30
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 06:00
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -0.177%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:50
Pinnacle7.02I 14.25%NM 13.87%EV -0.319%E -0.045%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.13%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 13:30
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:50
MyBookie.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:38
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:50
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:49
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:50
BetOnline.ag6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.60%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
LowVig.ag6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.60%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:20
NetBet (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:48
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:49
Fliff6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:49
GTbets6.63I 15.08%NM 14.45%EV -5.86%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.55%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:10
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 13:49
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:39
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 05:10
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:10
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:50
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:50
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:10
BetAnything6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.41%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 13:30
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:49
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:50
TAB6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:29
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 12:59
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 15:20
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.35%E -3.19%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:50
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.35%E -3.19%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:30
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -21.90%E -3.98%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 13:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-05-27 13:50
Novig7.41I 13.50%NM 13.03%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.97%3.6%2026-05-27 13:50