L’École des cotes

Valentin Royer v Novak Djokovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Valentin Royer (Local)

Prévision 14.20%7.04cote équitable
EV +13.60%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +1.94%
Croissance +0.264%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.89%14.30%14.01%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.526.508.0018.18%15.34%15.38%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Novak Djokovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 85.80%1.17cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -23.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.33%85.70%85.99%88.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.111.1392.59%90.32%90.09%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +13.60%E +1.70%K +1.94%G +0.264%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 12:20
FanDuel7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +10.76%E +1.38%K +1.58%G +0.170%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.74%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 12:09
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +6.50%E +0.866%K +0.999%G +0.065%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 12:10
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +6.50%E +0.866%K +0.999%G +0.065%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 13:47
Coolbet7.25I 13.79%NM 13.38%EV +2.95%E +0.406%K +0.471%G +0.014%1.12I 89.29%NM 86.62%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 13:20
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 05:10
Fanatics7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 07:30
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%EV +2.24%E +0.311%K +0.361%G +0.008%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 06:00
1xBet7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -0.177%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.47%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:50
Pinnacle7.02I 14.25%NM 13.87%EV -0.319%E -0.045%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 86.13%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 13:30
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:50
MyBookie.ag7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:38
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 15:20
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 15:20
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:50
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:49
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.603%E -0.086%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.34%E -6.79%K -91.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:50
BetOnline.ag6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.60%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
LowVig.ag6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV -1.60%E -0.230%K -0.269%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:30
Bet Right6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:20
NetBet (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:48
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:49
Fliff6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.15%E -0.615%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.48%E -5.94%K -71.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 13:49
GTbets6.63I 15.08%NM 14.45%EV -5.86%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.55%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:10
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -3.05%E -2.70%K -23.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 13:49
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:39
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 05:10
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:10
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:50
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 12:50
Caesars6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.70%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:10
BetAnything6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.41%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 13:30
Marathon Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:49
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:50
TAB6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -11.25%E -1.80%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:29
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Unibet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
betPARX6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 12:59
ATG (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
Svenska Spel6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -13.38%E -2.19%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:00
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Hard Rock Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:00
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:30
NordicBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betsson6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 13:50
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.80%E -2.47%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 15:20
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.35%E -3.19%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:50
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -18.35%E -3.19%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.90%E -3.49%K -32.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 13:30
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
Betclic (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -4.76%E -4.29%K -43.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -20.48%E -3.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -21.90%E -3.98%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -5.62%E -5.11%K -56.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Matchbook8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%1.0%2026-05-27 13:50
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%1.8%2026-05-27 13:50
Novig7.41I 13.50%NM 13.03%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.97%3.6%2026-05-27 13:50