Language:English
Ugo Humbert v Quentin Halys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ugo Humbert (Local)
Prediction 57.72%1.73fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.87%57.62%57.79%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.641.7162.50%60.72%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Quentin Halys (Visit)
Prediction 42.28%2.37fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.38%42.21%44.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.252.252.3146.73%44.38%44.44%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ugo Humbert (Local): 57.72%; Quentin Halys (Visit): 42.28%. For Ugo Humbert (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.71, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.29%E -0.755%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.87%E -1.10%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-27 14:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.45%E -1.45%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -2.45%E -1.45%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 14:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.02%E -1.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.02%E -1.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.02%E -1.80%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 14:12 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 14:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-27 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:17 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 14:16 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.91%E -3.63%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 14:12 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.91%E -3.63%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 14:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.64%E -4.78%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 14:17 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.64%E -4.78%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.64%E -4.78%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 14:20 |