La escuela de los momios

Ugo Humbert v Quentin Halys

Inicio: 2026-05-27 14:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Local)

Predicción 57.72%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.29%
Ventaja -0.755%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.87%57.62%57.79%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.641.7162.50%60.72%60.98%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Quentin Halys (Visitante)

Predicción 42.28%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.38%42.21%44.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.252.252.3146.73%44.38%44.44%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -1.29%E -0.755%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 14:20
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -1.87%E -1.10%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -4.03%E -1.78%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-27 14:19
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.45%E -1.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.34%E -1.01%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 14:20
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -2.45%E -1.45%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -9.53%E -4.45%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 14:08
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.02%E -1.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.02%E -1.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 14:20
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.02%E -1.80%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:20
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -3.19%E -1.39%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 14:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 14:20
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:20
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.60%E -2.16%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.11%E -4.24%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 14:20
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 14:20
Betclic (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 14:20
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.18%E -2.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:19
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.61%E -1.58%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:20
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:20
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:20
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:20
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:20
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 14:12
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 14:19
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.76%E -2.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 14:19
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:20
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:20
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:20
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:17
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 14:18
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.46%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 14:16
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:20
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:20
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.33%E -3.25%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 14:20
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.91%E -3.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 14:12
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.66%EV -5.91%E -3.63%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.34%EV -6.15%E -2.77%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 14:20
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.77%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 14:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:20
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:20
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.49%E -4.00%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 14:20
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 14:18
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.88%E -2.17%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 14:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.06%E -4.39%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 14:20
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.64%E -4.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 14:17
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.64%E -4.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 14:20
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.64%E -4.78%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.99%E -3.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-27 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-27 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-27 14:20
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-27 14:20
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-27 14:20
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-05-27 14:20