La scuola delle quote

Thanasi Kokkinakis v Pablo Carreno Busta

Inizio: 2026-05-27 13:32 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Thanasi Kokkinakis (Casa)

Previsione 30.59%3.27quota equa
EV +0.650%
Vantaggio +0.198%
Kelly +0.284%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.31%30.58%30.60%32.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.103.103.2934.72%32.29%32.26%30.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pablo Carreno Busta (Trasferta)

Previsione 69.41%1.44quota equa
EV -2.83%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -7.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.29%69.42%69.40%70.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.371.371.4075.19%72.99%72.99%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV +0.650%E +0.198%K +0.284%G +0.002%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV +0.344%E +0.105%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 13:17
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.574%E -0.177%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.574%E -0.177%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:20
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -1.19%E -0.367%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:19
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 13:14
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
MyBookie.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:20
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:15
BetOnline.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:15
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 13:19
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:17
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:18
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:19
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:19
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
SportsBet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -7.30%E -2.41%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:16
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:20
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:19
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 13:19
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.75%E -3.31%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Novig3.27I 30.58%NM 30.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%0.5%2026-05-27 13:20
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-05-27 13:20