L’École des cotes

Thanasi Kokkinakis v Pablo Carreno Busta

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 13:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Thanasi Kokkinakis (Local)

Prévision 30.59%3.27cote équitable
EV +0.650%
Avantage +0.198%
Kelly +0.284%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.31%30.58%30.60%32.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.103.103.2934.72%32.29%32.26%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Pablo Carreno Busta (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.41%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -7.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.29%69.42%69.40%70.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.371.371.4075.19%72.99%72.99%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV +0.650%E +0.198%K +0.284%G +0.002%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV +0.344%E +0.105%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 13:17
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.574%E -0.177%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.574%E -0.177%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:20
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -1.19%E -0.367%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:19
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 13:14
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
MyBookie.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:20
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:15
BetOnline.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:15
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 13:19
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:17
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:18
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:19
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:19
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
SportsBet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -7.30%E -2.41%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:16
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:20
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:19
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 13:19
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.75%E -3.31%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Novig3.27I 30.58%NM 30.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%0.5%2026-05-27 13:20
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-05-27 13:20