La escuela de los momios

Thanasi Kokkinakis v Pablo Carreno Busta

Inicio: 2026-05-27 13:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Thanasi Kokkinakis (Local)

Predicción 30.59%3.27momio equitativo
EV +0.650%
Ventaja +0.198%
Kelly +0.284%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.31%30.58%30.60%32.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.103.103.2934.72%32.29%32.26%30.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pablo Carreno Busta (Visitante)

Predicción 69.41%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -7.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.29%69.42%69.40%70.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.371.371.4075.19%72.99%72.99%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV +0.650%E +0.198%K +0.284%G +0.002%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV +0.344%E +0.105%K +0.151%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 13:17
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.574%E -0.177%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.574%E -0.177%K -0.255%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 13:20
GTbets3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -1.19%E -0.367%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 13:19
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 13:14
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
MyBookie.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:19
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.10%E -0.657%K -0.956%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:20
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:15
BetOnline.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-27 13:15
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.41%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -2.72%E -0.854%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 13:19
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:17
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
PointsBet (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.63%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.99%E -5.22%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Bally Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:18
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:19
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:19
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
FanDuel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 13:20
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
SportsBet3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -7.30%E -2.41%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -3.52%E -2.54%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 13:16
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 13:20
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.22%E -3.06%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.91%E -3.59%K -13.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-27 13:19
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.30%E -4.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 13:20
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.22%E -2.74%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.69%E -5.78%K -23.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 13:19
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -9.75%E -3.31%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 13:20
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.28%E -3.89%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.61%E -4.12%K -15.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -11.89%E -4.13%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -2.83%E -2.02%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 13:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-05-27 13:20
Novig3.27I 30.58%NM 30.43%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.57%0.5%2026-05-27 13:20
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-05-27 13:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%1.8%2026-05-27 13:20